If one were to ask you – How top heavy is the U.S. venture capital (VC) market? Do you think 20% of the firms garner 80% of the fundraising money? Is it more like 60/40? Here’s a look, based on updated 2024 figures out of private equity data provider Pitchbook.

The Broad Picture

The view of the fundraising picture in the U.S. VC market is perhaps best captured in the following Sankey graph. In 2024, the U.S. VC landscape saw concentrated among a select group of firms, with Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) emerging as a dominant player. Does this trend underscore the growing influence of established VC firms and presents challenges for emerging managers seeking capital?

Dominance of Top VC Firms

As shown, data from 2024 reveals that nine venture capital firms accounted for approximately 50% of all funds raised by U.S. investors. Of note, Andreessen Horowitz secured 11% of the total venture dollars raised, while General Catalyst captured 9.1%, and Thrive Capital garnered 8.4%.

Andreessen Horowitz’s Fundraising Milestones

In May 2024, Andreessen Horowitz announced the successful raising of $7.2 billion across five distinct fund strategies, including American Dynamism ($600 million), Apps ($1 billion), Games ($600 million), Infrastructure ($1.25 billion), and Growth ($3.75 billion). Unbeknownst to no insider, this capital influx highlights the firm’s expansive reach and its commitment to diverse investment areas.

Implications for Emerging VC Managers

The concentration of capital among top firms poses challenges for emerging VC managers. In the first half of 2024, U.S. venture firms raised $37.4 billion, marking a slower pace compared to previous years. Macroeconomic factors and a tepid market for initial public offerings (IPOs) and mergers have contributed to a cautious approach among limited partners. Consequently, emerging managers face heightened pressure due to a lack of proven returns, possibly making fundraising (claims) more arduous.

Investor Enthusiasm for AI and Technology

Despite the overall slowdown, sectors like artificial intelligence (AI) have continued to attract a lot of interest. For instance, in December 2024, Databricks, a data analytics and AI company, was on the verge of securing nearly $9.5 billion in one of the largest VC funding rounds to date. Leading this round were Thrive Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Insight Partners, and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC. This deal underscores investors’ enthusiasm for high-quality tech firms and the substantial venture capital available for AI-driven companies.

Summing Up

The U.S. venture capital fundraising landscape in 2024 is, perhaps unsurprisingly, concentrated among a few dominant firms, with Andreessen Horowitz playing a pivotal role. While this trend reflects the growing influence of established VC entities, it also presents challenges for emerging managers striving to secure capital. Nonetheless, investor interest in sectors like AI remains robust, indicating a continued appetite for innovation and technological advancement.

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Every quarter, private equity data provider Pitchbook releases their accounting of the most active private equity (PE) and venture capital (VC) investors. Here’s a look at PitchBook’s Q3 2024 Global League Tables through the third quarter of 2024. In addition to covering VC and PE, the update includes mergers and acquisitions (M&A). One of the advantages of Pitchbook’s take on investor activity is their breakdown of activity across regions, sectors, size, and exits.

Private Equity Activity

In the realm of private equity, several firms distinguished themselves in the third quarter. On top of the most globally active list includes (deals in parentheses) Ares (91), Leonard Green Partners (51), The Carlyle Group (47), Shore Capital Partners (43), and TA Associates Management (43).

Venture Capital Activity

Shifting to the VC picture, the venture capital landscape showcased robust activity, with the most active firms having actively invested in at least 30 startups and emerging companies each. On top of the list of most active VCs in the third quarter was (deals in parentheses) Antler (78), Enterprise Ireland (74), Pioneer Fund (70), Andreessen Horowitz (67), and Y Combinator (64).

Mergers and Acquisitions Activity

M&A activity remained a critical component of the global financial landscape. Pitchbook’s league tables suggests some well-known names continue to lead the world in M&A transactions. The top five list includes (deals in parentheses) Jefferies (130), BDO (80), Houlihan Lokey (80), PwC (77), and KPMG (61).

Of Note on Methodology

PitchBook’s methodology for compiling these league tables involves analyzing an extensive dataset of deals. For PE firms, regional rankings are based on all PE deal types as defined by PitchBook. Similarly, VC firm rankings consider all VC deal types. When specific deal types are broken out in rankings, such as buyouts or exits, only those deal types form the basis of the rankings. This approach ensures that the league tables accurately reflect the firms’ activities across different deal types and regions.

Conclusion

Overall, PitchBook’s Q3 2024 Global League Tables offer a detailed snapshot of the firms leading the charge in private equity, venture capital, and mergers and acquisitions. To the casual reader, these interactive rankings offer valuable insights into the global financial landscape.

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Every quarter, private equity data provider Pitchbook releases their estimates of fund performance. The recently released Q1 2024 Global Fund Performance Report provides an insight into updates on private capital strategies, highlighting challenges and opportunities across asset classes. Although the macroeconomic conditions are weak, the report offers some interesting insights into the performance of private equity.

Private Equity (PE): Navigating a New Normal

Private equity, with a one-year internal rate of return (IRR) of 8.7%, continues to perform below its historical average of 14.2%. Larger funds, particularly megafunds, outperformed their smaller counterparts, demonstrating resilience but also higher volatility due to leverage. European funds led regional performance with a 9.6% IRR, fueled by robust fundraising and increased interest from non-European investors. However, the higher-for-longer interest rate environment has kept returns in check, making it challenging for funds to recapture the exceptional performance seen in previous years.

Venture Capital (VC): Signs of Stabilization

Venture capital remained in negative territory with a one-year IRR of -1.2%, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of losses. However, the gap between smaller and larger funds narrowed, and smaller funds recorded their best performance since Q2 2022 with a modest 0.3% return. Anticipation of interest rate cuts and improvements in exit activity, such as IPOs, offer hope for recovery in the coming quarters. Cerebras’ IPO filing was a notable development, potentially signaling a shift in market dynamics.

Real Estate: A Sector Under Pressure

Private real estate was the weakest-performing asset class, with a one-year IRR of -4%, continuing a four-quarter streak of negative returns. Value-add strategies were hit hardest, posting -7.1% returns due to high leverage and interest rate pressures. Conversely, distressed funds were the sole bright spot, achieving a 2.8% IRR. Preliminary Q2 data suggests the sector may have bottomed out, with quarterly returns showing a slight improvement.

Real Assets: Infrastructure Leads the Way

Real assets recorded a robust 9.1% one-year IRR, driven by strong infrastructure performance (10.5%) and gains in metals, timber, and agriculture (10.7%). Infrastructure investments, particularly in energy transition projects, continue to attract significant capital, benefiting from government support and technological advancements. Oil and gas funds, while recovering, remain volatile due to fluctuating energy prices.

Private Debt: Consistent Performance Amid Volatility

Private debt achieved a one-year IRR of 7.8%, closely aligned with its 10-year average. Mezzanine funds led performance with a 15.3% return, while distressed and special situation funds lagged. The floating-rate structure of private debt helped mitigate risks during rising interest rates, though the sector now faces challenges as rates begin to decline.

Funds of Funds and Secondaries: Steady Gains

Funds of funds delivered a one-year return of 3.2%, lagging other asset classes but showing gradual improvement. Secondaries posted a 6.4% IRR, with European-focused funds outperforming North American counterparts. The narrowing bid-ask spreads in buyouts have boosted secondary activity, although pricing pressures remain a concern.

The Outlook

Overall, Pitchbook’s status report underscores a mixed recovery across private capital, with sectors like real assets and private debt showing strength, while others, such as VC and real estate, continue to face headwinds. As central banks ease monetary policies, the potential for recovery and recalibration in private markets remains a key theme for 2024.

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